Jogi's alliance can overthrow BJP's moods

Jogi’s alliance can overthrow BJP’s moods

If the state’s electorate likes the strange and interesting political alliance recently created in Chhattisgarh, then it will be able to water the BJP and the Congress on winning the upcoming assembly elections. BJP has won three consecutive elections in the state assembly elections. This political coalition includes the newly formed Janata Congress, Chhattisgarh (Jogi), Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and the Communist Party of India (CPI). Chhattisgarh was considered as the seat of Congress for a long time. Even in undivided Madhya Pradesh, the party got the highest seats from this area. Chhattisgarh was cut off from Madhya Pradesh in 2000 and was made a separate state and Ajit Pramod Kumar Jogi became the first Chief Minister of the state. Jury was a part of the Congress party at the time that was made by the Bureau of Politics.

His Chief Minister’s three-year tenure remained very volatile and turned towards caste based politics. As a result, BJP came to power in the 2003 assembly elections due to the resentment of this government among the people. Since then, BJP has been ruling here for the last 15 years under the leadership of Raman Singh.

Ajit Jogi can spoil the game

Jogi and his son Amit had to separate from the Congress two years ago for anti-party activities. Immediately after this, Jogi formed the regional unit – the Janata Congress (Chhattisgarh) (JCC) with a national perspective. Today, it is a challenge for both the BJP and the Congress. However, both parties are not ready to believe it. Congress leader Ajit Jogi calls this party BJP’s “B-Team”, while BJP says that Jogi’s party means that the public will not be able to create any kind of influence in Chhattisgarh state assembly elections. However, Jogi is playing his election game with a lot of tricks and has aligned with Mayawati’s Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and CPI. This coalition could spoil the possibilities of two major parties. In this election, JCC and BSP have decided to split the seats in the ratio of 55:35. Under this, more seats will go to JCC and after winning the elections, it is a matter of meeting the Chief Minister’s chair. Both the coalitions can be very effective on 15 seats and this number is enough to change the attitude of government formation in Chhattisgarh.

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Jogi’s alliance can overthrow BJP’s moods

Jogi also recently announced to withdraw from the election contest. He had said that he will now focus his attention on the coalition’s election campaign in just 90 seats. Earlier, he had challenged Raman Singh for his open play in Rajnandgaon, his home zone. However, till Monday, there was speculation about the fact that Jogi can override his old attitude, because people of the Marwahi region, which are traditionally considered as their stronghold, have approached them and asked them to fill the nominations.

BSP’s presence in 11 assembly constituencies is important

Keeping in mind the electoral math of 2013, the BSP has a decisive presence in 11 assembly constituencies and its vote share is between 1 to 30 per cent in these seats. At present, Keshav Chandra, the only legislator of the party in the state, has again been nominated from Jajapur. Long time ago, in 2003, the BSP had won two seats in the Assembly elections – from Sarangarh (reserved for Scheduled Castes), Kamada Zolay and Lalka Khanta got the victory in the assembly elections. After this, in 2008, it won two assembly seats. These included the Akaltra and Palmgarh assembly seats. Saurabh Singh was elected MLA from Akkatarra, whereas Dajaram Buddhist was victorious from Palamgarh. In this election, BJP got 50 seats, while Congress won in 38 seats. Saurabh Singh quit the BSP in 2013 and joined the Congress party. In the case of anti-party activities, Jhole was expelled from the BSP.

Traditionally, Jogi’s supporters have been attracting towards BJP, but due to JCC’s active this time, all such votes are expected to shift towards their party. The impact will be on the BJP and the Congress vote bank. Actually, the difference between the vote of both parties in the last elections was less than 1 per cent. Jogi’s family has had a great influence on Chhattisgarh’s Marwahi and Kota seats. Jogi’s son, Amit Marwahi, won the election on the Congress ticket from the seat, while his wife Renu won from Kota. Amit Jogi’s party is with JCC, but Renu has again expressed his desire to contest the Congress ticket. Two existing MLAs of Congress – Siyaram Kaushik and Gundardehi Assembly constituency RK Ray now with Jogi, who belong to the Bilhah assembly constituency. However, his daughter-in-law, Richa Jogi, is in the constituency of Accidenta on the BST ticket. Former JCC candidate from Chandrapur, Gitanjali Patel also joined the BSP a few days ago and his party ticket has been retained.

Nonetheless, the electoral history of Chhattisgarh shows that if the candidate is not a public leader, then the chances of winning his election are extremely low.

Synergy with CPI

Jogi announced the alliance with CPI for the state assembly elections on Sunday last Sunday. In the southern Bastar-Dantewada and Kanta, the Left party got two seats to contest the elections. The party has a lot of influence in both of these seats. Former legislator and CPI’s Manish Kunjam will fight in Konta constituency in the state legislature in the assembly elections in the Konata assembly seat against deputy leader of the opposition and current Congress MLA Kawasi Lakhma. CPI Central Control Commission Secretary CR Bakshi said that the party will present its candidates on the remaining seats, for example Jagdalpur, Kondagaon Keshakal etc. Along with this, it will also get support from the coalition in these seats. Candidates have already been announced for these seats and Dantewada. Janggir-Champa district is also being considered for the elections. The Chhattisgarh Mukti Morcha may also be included in the coalition, whose President Janak Lal Thakur has confirmed the talks with CPI leaders. He expressed the hope that the final decision will be taken soon for the coalition. BSP Supremo Mayawati plans to conduct six public meetings in the state. Two meetings will be held in Dongargarh and Bhilai on November 4. CPI’s star campaigner T. Raja will also attend these meetings. Amit Jogi expressed his hope that his coalition, led by the regional party JCC, would be successful in creating a sense of belonging among the people. Amit said that his father is a Dalit, Muslim and Christian community people, and all three parties related to the coalition are cadre based, which is directly linked to the poor and the disadvantaged. According to them, apart from these, these parties also consider local aspirations too.

Resolving 12 works

As a manifesto, Ajit Jogi has already presented an affidavit about those 12 functions, which he will do when he comes to power. Jogi also said that no other political party has any clarity about the promises of voters, because they have to look at New Delhi to take decisions. However, JCC has no such compulsion. BJP’s state secretary general Santosh Pandey admitted that there is an impact in the Scheduled Caste-dominated 11-12 districts of the JCC-BSP-CPI alliance. According to him, the impact of this alliance on the main is in the three seats of the Left Front in the Bastar region including the Janjgir-Champa area and Bilaspur. He said, ‘Alliance will focus on these winning seats. However, it will not have much impact on BJP. ‘

Jogi’s alliance can overthrow BJP’s moods

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